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Home prices are expected to keep rising next year: Here's where

Americans looking to buy a house next year can expect less competition, more homes to choose from and the highest average mortgage rates in nearly two decades. Here's what they can't expect: A widespread fall in prices that would bring relief to priced-out homebuyers.

That's the major takeaway from's 2023 Housing Forecast released Wednesday. Home price declines "may not happen as quickly as some have anticipated," said's chief economist, Danielle Hale. Prices will be elevated during the first half of 2023 and they'll probably fall or stay flat during the second half of next year, she told CBS MoneyWatch.

"We expect, for the year as a whole, 2023 is going to be higher," Hale said. "Shoppers who want to buy might have to wait a little bit."

The housing market will soon turn the page on 2022, a year that saw skyrocketing mortgage rates alongside soaring home prices. Some cities in particular — like Boise, Idaho; and Austin, Texas — saw double-digit percent increases in prices. The rising cost of homeownership deterred many aspiring buyers, who have opted instead to continue renting.

Home prices have fallen in many areas during the tail end of 2022, but mortgage rates have continued to climb. The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage was about 6.6% this week, more than double what the rate was at the start of the year. expects mortgage rates to climb even further at the beginning of next year as the Federal Reserve continues to raise its benchmark interest rate. Mortgage rates could reach as high as 7.4% in the first half of 2023 before settling down to around 7.1% toward the second half of the year, the company said. When considering increases in property prices and loan rates, the typical monthly mortgage payment next year will be around $2,430, 28% higher than this year, predicted.

Source: CBS News

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